Market Ends on a Positive Note for FY13 | Sensex, CNX Nifty up by 0.5%

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 Market Ends on a Postive NoteMumbai, both key indices, S&P BSE Sensex & CNX Nifty, closed the FY 2012-13 on a positive note.  They came off four months low and rose over 0.5 % during the short week, when they were under review.

The BSE & NSE, which were closed on March 27 & 29 on account of ‘Holi’ and ‘Good Friday’, snapped two weeks of downtrend. Market commenced the week on a strong footing after debt- ridden Cyprus clinched a bailout deal as the Sensex logged a high of 18,950.22.

But, it soon reversed gears on worries over domestic political developments after Samajwadi Party, a key outside alliance of UPA Government, indicated it may withdraw support to the ruling partnership at the Centre. Possibility of political uncertainty triggered concerns about the fate of economic reforms.

Cyprus and its euro-zone partners early Monday reached a deal on a 10 billion euro (Approx. USD 13 billion) bailout package for the island nation to avoid bankruptcy & to keep it within the single currency group.

The market had been rattled by withdrawal of support to the UPA Government by the DMK last week. RBI’s signal about little room for interest rate cuts in near future following high inflation and current account deficit (CAD). It reached a record high in Q3 of the current financial year.

On Tuesday, the market snapped its seven-day losing string on short-coverings by operators before the expiry of derivatives contract on March 28. Some winding up of positions towards the end of the current financial year also played a key role in the recovery of shares at the tail-end of the week.

The Bombay Stock Exchange 30-share estimate, despite gaining on the last two trading days of the week, touched a fresh four-month intra-day low of 18,568.43 on Thursday. It finally ended the week up 100.17 points, or 0.53 % at 18,835.77.

Last week, the BSE benchmark recorded its biggest weekly point-wise fall since second half of December 2011. It dropped a whopping 691.96 points, or 3.56 %.

The Sensex has gained 1,431.57 points, or 8.23 percent, in 2012-13 as compared to the previous fiscal. The broader CNX Nifty of the NSE also recovered by 31.20 points, or 0.55 %, over the last week to settle at 5,682.55.

Observing that the investor negativity in the country might be “overdone”, German lender Deutsche Bank predicted that the Sensex would close the current calendar year at 22,500.

Commenting on Nifty outlook, Rakesh Goel, Senior VP, Bonanza Portfolio, said: “If in the coming week, Nifty sustains above 5,700, further recovery is likely. The Nifty at 5,700 shall be crucial deciding level in near term, and the index is likely to witness further buying above this mark.”

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) infused Rs 1,947.47 CR in the week, including provisional figure of March 28.

According to analysts, the market will remain subdued as the current account deficit (CAD), announced by the RBI in its report on Balance of Payments on late Friday, touched a record high of 6.7 % of GDP in the October-December quarter.

The possibility of early general elections & concerns over the pace of economic reform process has already dented market sentiments, they added.

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